Hedge bet calculator
Lay-off stake calculation to lock in profit regardless of which side wins.
Calculator
Overview
This calculator runs in your browser using verified math formulas. No data is stored or transmitted.
How to use it
Adjust the inputs on the left; the right pane updates live with results. All numbers are computed instantly — no rounding or simplification beyond the displayed precision.
Important caveats
Calculator output is mathematical expectation, not a prediction. Actual results in any individual session can vary widely from expected values, especially in high-variance games.
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FAQ
When does hedging make sense?
When you want to lock in profit on an in-progress bet, eliminate downside risk before a final event, or convert a value bet into guaranteed profit at lower margins.
Does hedging reduce expected value?
Yes — typically by the bookmaker margin on the lay-off market. Hedging trades expected value for certainty.
How is hedge stake calculated?
Hedge stake = original_payout / lay_odds. The result is the bet that locks in equal profit regardless of outcome (minus margin).
Is hedging different from arbitrage?
Yes. Arbitrage exploits odds discrepancies between books. Hedging locks profit on a single account by betting both sides at later, less-favourable odds.
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